Chelmsford City vs Concord Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
26.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
WEA
0 - 0
CHM
40%
24%
36%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
CHM
2 - 2
HAV
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
MAI
0 - 1
CHM
56%
22%
22%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
CHM
2 - 1
STA
52%
23%
25%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
WHI
4 - 2
CHM
54%
23%
23%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Concord Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
CON
0 - 2
OXF
37%
23%
40%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
SUT
2 - 2
CON
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
CON
2 - 1
MAR
67%
19%
15%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
BIS
3 - 2
CON
39%
26%
36%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
CON
0 - 3
HEM
52%
22%
26%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |