Chelmsford City vs Bognor Regis Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
13.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2017 |
CON
0 - 2
CHM
19%
23%
57%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
CHM
2 - 0
WHI
81%
13%
7%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
WEA
0 - 2
CHM
30%
25%
46%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2017 |
CHM
0 - 2
STA
75%
15%
10%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
BAT
1 - 2
CHM
23%
24%
52%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Bognor Regis Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2017 |
BOG
0 - 1
EAS
56%
22%
22%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
EAS
2 - 0
BOG
45%
24%
31%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
BOG
1 - 1
WES
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
BOG
6 - 2
WHI
73%
16%
11%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
WEL
3 - 3
BOG
23%
24%
53%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |