Chelmsford City vs Billericay Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
44.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
BAT
2 - 0
CHM
45%
25%
30%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2018 |
WES
0 - 3
CHM
41%
24%
35%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
EAS
2 - 0
CHM
23%
24%
53%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
CHM
2 - 0
GLO
73%
17%
10%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
OXF
4 - 0
CHM
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Billericay Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
BIL
0 - 4
WOK
58%
20%
21%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
HER
2 - 1
BIL
25%
24%
52%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2018 |
BAT
1 - 2
BIL
31%
25%
44%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
EAS
0 - 2
BIL
30%
24%
47%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
BIL
2 - 3
OXF
63%
19%
18%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |