FA Cup 1/256
Global 1-0
Chelmsford City vs Bath City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
15.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
BAT
0 - 0
CHM
30%
25%
45%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
CHM
5 - 2
EAS
67%
18%
15%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
CHM
2 - 1
WEY
63%
20%
17%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
POO
0 - 0
CHM
19%
24%
58%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
CHM
7 - 0
RAM
80%
13%
6%
|
49 | 24 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Bath City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
BAT
0 - 0
CHM
30%
25%
45%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
STA
2 - 0
BAT
46%
24%
30%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
BAT
3 - 0
HEM
42%
24%
34%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
BAT
0 - 0
WEA
46%
25%
30%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
BAT
6 - 0
KNA
80%
13%
7%
|
43 | 16 | 27 | 0 |