Chelmsford City vs Bath City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
39%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2014 |
CHM
0 - 2
WEA
50%
24%
27%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
WHI
5 - 1
CHM
46%
25%
30%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
CHM
1 - 1
HAY
55%
22%
23%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 2
CHM
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2014 |
BAR
4 - 1
CHM
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Bath City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2014 |
BAT
1 - 3
GOS
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
BAT
4 - 0
MAI
52%
23%
24%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
EBB
0 - 0
BAT
54%
23%
23%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
BAT
2 - 0
STA
41%
24%
35%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
EAS
7 - 1
BAT
32%
26%
42%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -2 |