Chelmsford City vs Bath City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
32%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
BIG
2 - 0
CHM
41%
25%
34%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
DOR
2 - 0
CHM
42%
25%
33%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
EBB
0 - 2
CHM
49%
24%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
CHM
0 - 2
WHI
36%
24%
41%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
HAY
4 - 0
CHM
32%
25%
43%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Bath City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
BAT
2 - 0
GOS
47%
24%
29%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
BAT
0 - 2
DOV
38%
26%
37%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
STA
1 - 0
BAT
38%
25%
37%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
BAT
2 - 2
TON
56%
22%
22%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
EBB
1 - 1
BAT
40%
25%
35%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |