Chelmsford City vs Basingstoke Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
19.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
SUT
2 - 0
CHM
65%
21%
14%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
CHM
6 - 1
GOS
57%
22%
21%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
EBB
3 - 1
CHM
59%
22%
19%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2016 |
HAV
0 - 1
CHM
51%
23%
25%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
CHM
3 - 1
BAT
63%
20%
17%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Basingstoke Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
BAS
2 - 0
WHI
23%
24%
53%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
DAR
0 - 0
BAS
59%
22%
19%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2016 |
GOS
3 - 2
BAS
50%
24%
26%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
BAS
2 - 2
WES
37%
26%
37%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2016 |
WES
2 - 1
BAS
55%
22%
23%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |