FA Cup Previa 2
Global 1-4
Chelmsford City vs Barnet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
51.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
HAV
2 - 3
CHM
70%
18%
13%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2014 |
CHM
0 - 1
CON
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
STA
0 - 2
CHM
68%
18%
14%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
CHM
3 - 2
WES
46%
25%
29%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
BOR
4 - 0
CHM
65%
20%
15%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Barnet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
BAR
3 - 0
BRA
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
GAT
0 - 2
BAR
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
BAR
3 - 3
KID
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
MAC
2 - 1
BAR
33%
27%
40%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 0
EAS
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |