Chelmsford City vs AFC Hornchurch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
13.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2013 |
WES
3 - 0
CHM
39%
25%
37%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
STA
1 - 3
CHM
24%
25%
52%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
BRO
2 - 0
CHM
33%
27%
40%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
CHM
1 - 0
SUT
59%
23%
18%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2013 |
CHM
1 - 1
HAV
70%
18%
12%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
AFC Hornchurch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
HOR
2 - 1
BAT
36%
27%
37%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
FAR
1 - 1
HOR
59%
21%
20%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
HOR
1 - 1
STA
47%
27%
26%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2013 |
TON
1 - 0
HOR
49%
23%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
HOR
0 - 2
MAI
42%
27%
31%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -2 |