UEFA EC U21 Quarter-finals
Global 1-6
Czechoslovakia U21 vs Sweden U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
16.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Czechoslovakia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1989 |
CSK
1 - 1
GER
51%
22%
26%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1988 |
CSK
2 - 2
GRC
65%
19%
16%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1988 |
GRC
1 - 1
CSK
60%
21%
19%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1986 |
CSK
1 - 1
DEN
67%
18%
15%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1986 |
CSK
2 - 0
FIN
69%
17%
14%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1989 |
POL
1 - 1
SWE
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1989 |
SWE
1 - 0
ALB
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1989 |
SWE
1 - 0
ENG
55%
23%
22%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1989 |
SWE
4 - 0
POL
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 1988 |
ALB
0 - 2
SWE
48%
25%
28%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |