UEFA EC U21 Quarter-finals
Global 1-4
Czechoslovakia U21 vs Italy U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
20.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Czechoslovakia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1991 |
ESP
1 - 1
CSK
44%
24%
32%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1991 |
CSK
3 - 0
ALB
76%
16%
8%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1991 |
CSK
1 - 0
FRA
59%
21%
21%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1991 |
ISL
0 - 1
CSK
24%
25%
51%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1991 |
ALB
1 - 5
CSK
25%
25%
50%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Italy U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1991 |
ITA
2 - 1
NOR
66%
21%
13%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1991 |
SUN
1 - 1
ITA
17%
24%
58%
|
70 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1991 |
ITA
1 - 0
SUN
79%
16%
6%
|
70 | 44 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1991 |
NOR
6 - 0
ITA
23%
26%
51%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1991 |
HUN
0 - 1
ITA
42%
24%
34%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |