Chaves vs Vizela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
25.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
POR
1 - 0
CHA
54%
25%
21%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
CHA
0 - 1
AVE
35%
27%
38%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
FCB
1 - 1
CHA
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2005 |
CHA
1 - 3
EST
29%
26%
44%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
CHA
1 - 1
GON
46%
26%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Vizela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
VIZ
0 - 2
MAI
28%
25%
47%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
POR
2 - 0
VIZ
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
VIZ
0 - 2
FEI
41%
25%
34%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
AVE
3 - 2
VIZ
59%
22%
18%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
VIZ
0 - 0
SAN
45%
25%
30%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |