Chaves vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.7%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
28.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1987 |
SLB
0 - 0
CHA
83%
11%
6%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1987 |
CHA
3 - 1
OEL
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1987 |
CHA
4 - 1
OLH
56%
21%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1987 |
OLH
1 - 1
CHA
58%
21%
22%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1987 |
FAR
4 - 0
CHA
43%
28%
29%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1987 |
BOA
1 - 1
VIT
42%
29%
29%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1987 |
VIT
2 - 2
MON
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1987 |
VIT
1 - 2
SLB
28%
27%
45%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1987 |
VIT
2 - 0
SIL
90%
7%
3%
|
78 | 9 | 69 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1987 |
MON
3 - 0
VIT
74%
17%
9%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |