Chaves vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
NAC
2 - 0
CHA
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2018 |
AVE
2 - 0
CHA
43%
25%
32%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -2 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
CHA
1 - 2
MOR
43%
27%
29%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
BEL
1 - 0
CHA
56%
23%
22%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
CHA
0 - 1
VIT
36%
26%
38%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
BRA
0 - 1
VAR
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
VAR
3 - 4
PEN
36%
29%
36%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
ARO
0 - 1
VAR
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
VAR
0 - 0
ACV
39%
29%
33%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2018 |
OLI
3 - 0
VAR
42%
27%
32%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |