Chaves vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
31.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
FEL
0 - 1
CHA
45%
26%
30%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
UNM
0 - 0
CHA
33%
27%
40%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
CHA
3 - 1
SAN
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
CHA
0 - 1
VAR
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
PEN
3 - 2
CHA
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
VAR
1 - 4
PAÇ
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
LEX
1 - 1
VAR
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
VAR
1 - 0
UNM
64%
21%
14%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
CHA
0 - 1
VAR
42%
26%
32%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
SAN
2 - 0
VAR
39%
27%
35%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |