Chaves vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
21.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1998 |
MAR
1 - 0
CHA
72%
17%
11%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1998 |
CHA
0 - 0
SAL
37%
27%
36%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1998 |
SLB
3 - 1
CHA
79%
15%
6%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1998 |
CHA
1 - 3
BOA
27%
27%
47%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1998 |
VIT
5 - 1
CHA
76%
16%
8%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1998 |
VAR
1 - 0
FAR
35%
28%
38%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1998 |
SPB
3 - 1
VAR
77%
15%
8%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1998 |
VAR
0 - 1
SCP
19%
26%
56%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1998 |
RIO
0 - 0
VAR
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1998 |
VAR
1 - 1
ACA
47%
28%
26%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |