Chaves vs União da Serra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
10.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
CHA
2 - 0
PEN
30%
29%
41%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
SAN
3 - 0
CHA
70%
20%
11%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
CHA
1 - 1
SCF
28%
28%
44%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
BMA
2 - 1
CHA
66%
21%
13%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
LEC
0 - 3
CHA
49%
25%
27%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
União da Serra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
USE
3 - 2
COI
31%
24%
44%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |