Chaves vs Tondela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.5%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
34.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
CHA
8 - 0
AVA
71%
19%
10%
|
55 | 30 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
CHA
0 - 2
SPC
43%
29%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
ACV
1 - 2
CHA
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
BRA
3 - 2
CHA
45%
28%
27%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
CHA
1 - 0
MAR
45%
29%
26%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Tondela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
TON
5 - 1
CDT
85%
11%
4%
|
59 | 28 | 31 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
OLI
3 - 2
TON
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
TON
2 - 0
FEI
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
TON
2 - 1
UNM
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
ACV
2 - 1
TON
36%
29%
36%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |