Chaves vs Tirsense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
38.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CHA
4 - 1
JOA
70%
20%
11%
|
54 | 32 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CHA
3 - 4
VIZ
44%
28%
27%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
TIR
1 - 1
CHA
54%
26%
20%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
CHA
2 - 0
ADO
71%
20%
9%
|
56 | 27 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
FAF
2 - 1
CHA
43%
28%
29%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Tirsense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
MIR
2 - 2
TIR
38%
26%
36%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
OSL
2 - 1
TIR
23%
26%
51%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
TIR
1 - 1
CHA
54%
26%
20%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
FAM
1 - 1
TIR
43%
28%
29%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
TIR
2 - 1
MAC
71%
19%
11%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |