Chaves vs Tirsense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
17%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1990 |
FAR
2 - 0
CHA
48%
27%
25%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1990 |
SPB
1 - 1
CHA
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1990 |
CHA
3 - 1
FAM
61%
23%
17%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1990 |
VST
1 - 1
CHA
57%
25%
19%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1990 |
CHA
1 - 1
NAC
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Tirsense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1990 |
TIR
1 - 0
SPB
53%
27%
21%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1990 |
FAM
2 - 1
TIR
53%
26%
21%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1990 |
TIR
1 - 1
VST
49%
28%
23%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1990 |
NAC
0 - 0
TIR
57%
25%
18%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1990 |
TIR
0 - 1
UNM
58%
25%
17%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |