Chaves vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
25%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1986 |
SCP
3 - 1
CHA
86%
9%
4%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1986 |
SPB
1 - 1
CHA
61%
22%
18%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
CHA
1 - 0
POR
53%
26%
22%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
CHA
2 - 0
AVE
57%
25%
18%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1986 |
PEN
1 - 1
CHA
37%
31%
33%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1986 |
SPB
0 - 1
VIT
55%
25%
21%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1986 |
SPB
1 - 1
CHA
61%
22%
18%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
AVE
2 - 1
SPB
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1986 |
BEL
2 - 0
SPB
50%
22%
28%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
SPB
2 - 1
PEN
64%
22%
14%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |