Chaves vs Rio Ave analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
26.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1999 |
EST
2 - 1
CHA
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1999 |
CHA
2 - 2
SCP
15%
23%
62%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1999 |
ACA
1 - 2
CHA
48%
27%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 1999 |
CHA
3 - 2
CAM
47%
24%
28%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1998 |
VST
1 - 0
CHA
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1999 |
RIO
1 - 1
VST
50%
27%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1999 |
SLB
3 - 1
RIO
81%
14%
6%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1999 |
RIO
1 - 1
FCP
16%
23%
61%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 1999 |
RIO
1 - 2
SPB
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1998 |
SAL
5 - 1
RIO
67%
20%
14%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |