Chaves vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
19.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1989 |
FAF
2 - 0
CHA
39%
29%
32%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1989 |
CHA
1 - 1
SPB
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1989 |
BMA
2 - 0
CHA
48%
27%
25%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1989 |
CHA
2 - 2
LEX
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1989 |
FCP
1 - 0
CHA
77%
16%
7%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1989 |
BEL
2 - 1
PEN
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1989 |
PEN
0 - 1
FAR
43%
29%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1989 |
MAR
2 - 0
PEN
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1989 |
PEN
2 - 1
ACV
54%
28%
18%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1989 |
POR
1 - 1
PEN
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |