Chaves vs Ovarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
38.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
AVE
2 - 0
CHA
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
CHA
0 - 0
SAN
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
CHA
62%
23%
15%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
CHA
0 - 1
FEI
50%
26%
25%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
NAV
2 - 0
CHA
57%
24%
20%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Ovarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
OVA
0 - 3
FEL
65%
21%
14%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
ALV
0 - 2
OVA
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
OVA
3 - 3
ESP
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
GON
0 - 2
OVA
30%
26%
44%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
OVA
4 - 2
OLH
35%
26%
39%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |