Chaves vs Ovarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
LEX
1 - 1
CHA
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
FCM
0 - 3
CHA
40%
26%
34%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
CHA
2 - 0
RIO
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
OVA
2 - 0
CHA
45%
25%
30%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
CHA
0 - 2
SPC
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Ovarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
OVA
4 - 1
VAR
40%
25%
35%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
OVA
2 - 1
ALV
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
NAV
1 - 0
OVA
59%
23%
19%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
OVA
2 - 0
CHA
45%
25%
30%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
FAR
1 - 0
OVA
49%
25%
25%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |