Chaves vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
19%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1990 |
CHA
0 - 0
FEI
57%
25%
18%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1989 |
CHA
1 - 1
SPB
49%
26%
24%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1989 |
VIT
1 - 0
CHA
62%
22%
15%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1989 |
CHA
2 - 1
MAR
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1989 |
VST
4 - 1
CHA
61%
23%
17%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1989 |
VST
3 - 0
NAC
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1989 |
EST
3 - 0
NAC
60%
22%
17%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1989 |
NAC
0 - 0
UNM
56%
25%
19%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1989 |
BOA
4 - 1
NAC
66%
21%
13%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1989 |
NAC
0 - 0
VIT
46%
28%
27%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |