Chaves vs Mafra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
15%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
16.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
11.5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
GFC
1 - 1
CHA
48%
26%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2015 |
CHA
2 - 1
AVE
50%
27%
24%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
ACV
1 - 1
CHA
28%
28%
44%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 0
SCP
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
ARO
0 - 0
CHA
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
MAF
2 - 0
OLI
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 1
MAF
62%
24%
14%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2015 |
POR
2 - 0
MAF
74%
17%
9%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
MAF
1 - 1
VSC
31%
28%
41%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
OLH
2 - 1
MAF
51%
28%
21%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |