Chaves vs Feirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.1%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
45.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
SAN
3 - 2
CHA
68%
20%
12%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
CHA
1 - 0
SAN
19%
24%
57%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
LEX
3 - 0
CHA
72%
20%
8%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
CHA
0 - 4
SAN
28%
29%
43%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -2 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
GFC
1 - 0
CHA
74%
18%
8%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Feirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
FEI
0 - 0
POR
49%
27%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
POR
1 - 1
FEI
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
FEI
1 - 0
SAN
36%
27%
37%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
UDL
2 - 1
FEI
63%
23%
15%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
FEI
1 - 5
SCF
54%
26%
21%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -2 |