Chaves vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
67.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1999 |
SPB
1 - 0
CHA
71%
18%
11%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1999 |
CHA
1 - 1
SAL
34%
26%
40%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1999 |
UDL
3 - 1
CHA
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
CHA
1 - 1
BOA
21%
24%
56%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1999 |
ALV
3 - 1
CHA
50%
25%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1999 |
FCP
6 - 0
VST
82%
13%
6%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1999 |
SLB
1 - 1
FCP
42%
24%
33%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1999 |
FCP
2 - 0
CAM
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1999 |
FCP
1 - 0
SPB
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1999 |
SAL
1 - 3
FCP
23%
24%
53%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |