Chaves vs FC Felgueiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
POR
1 - 0
CHA
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
LEC
0 - 0
CHA
44%
26%
31%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
CHA
0 - 1
PEN
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
CHA
4 - 1
OVA
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
PEN
1 - 0
CHA
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
FC Felgueiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
FEL
2 - 0
FAR
39%
26%
34%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
SAL
2 - 0
FEL
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
FEL
1 - 2
EST
39%
27%
34%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
NAC
2 - 0
FEL
64%
21%
15%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
FEL
3 - 1
ACA
30%
25%
45%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +2 |