Chaves vs Fatima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.6%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
29.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2010 |
SPC
2 - 0
CHA
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
CHA
2 - 0
CAR
58%
25%
17%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
TRO
2 - 1
CHA
57%
25%
19%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
NAV
1 - 2
CHA
60%
22%
17%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
CHA
1 - 1
GFC
29%
30%
41%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2010 |
FAT
1 - 1
EST
39%
28%
33%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
VAR
1 - 1
FAT
41%
29%
29%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
FAT
1 - 1
OLI
40%
28%
32%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
FEI
1 - 1
FAT
57%
25%
17%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
FAT
0 - 1
POR
42%
29%
29%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |