Chaves vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
27.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2021 |
ARO
3 - 1
CHA
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
CHA
3 - 1
LEX
57%
26%
18%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
EST
1 - 1
CHA
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
CHA
1 - 1
MAF
60%
24%
16%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
ACA
2 - 1
CHA
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
POR
0 - 0
FAR
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
FAR
0 - 0
SPB
15%
22%
63%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
SLB
3 - 2
FAR
83%
12%
5%
|
62 | 87 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2021 |
FAR
0 - 1
VAR
65%
21%
15%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
SAN
4 - 0
FAR
62%
23%
15%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |