Chaves vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
27.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1999 |
BMA
1 - 1
CHA
50%
27%
24%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1999 |
CHA
0 - 0
RIO
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1999 |
EST
2 - 1
CHA
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 1999 |
CHA
2 - 2
SCP
15%
23%
62%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1999 |
ACA
1 - 2
CHA
48%
27%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1999 |
FAR
1 - 1
VST
46%
28%
26%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1999 |
SLB
5 - 0
FAR
80%
14%
6%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 1999 |
FAR
0 - 3
FCP
15%
23%
62%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1999 |
SPB
0 - 0
FAR
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1999 |
FAR
2 - 1
SAL
34%
28%
38%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |