Chaves vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
27.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1993 |
ESP
2 - 2
CHA
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1993 |
CHA
2 - 1
SPB
53%
26%
21%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1993 |
FAM
2 - 1
CHA
54%
26%
20%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1993 |
CHA
3 - 0
SAL
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1993 |
TIR
2 - 1
CHA
56%
25%
19%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1993 |
FAR
1 - 0
FCP
22%
28%
50%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1993 |
BOA
3 - 1
FAR
59%
25%
16%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1993 |
FAR
0 - 0
SLB
22%
27%
52%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1993 |
SCP
2 - 0
FAR
73%
18%
9%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1993 |
FAR
3 - 1
GFC
59%
24%
17%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |