Chaves vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1992 |
CHA
1 - 1
PAÇ
61%
23%
16%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1992 |
MAR
1 - 0
CHA
46%
28%
26%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 1992 |
CHA
4 - 1
TOR
71%
19%
10%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 1992 |
EST
1 - 1
CHA
39%
30%
31%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1992 |
SCP
3 - 0
CHA
69%
21%
10%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1992 |
FAR
1 - 1
SAL
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1992 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
FAR
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1992 |
FAR
4 - 1
PEN
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 1992 |
MAR
1 - 1
FAR
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1992 |
UNM
0 - 2
FAR
38%
29%
33%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |