Chaves vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
15.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1989 |
MAR
0 - 1
CHA
48%
27%
25%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1989 |
SPB
3 - 1
CHA
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1989 |
CHA
5 - 0
ACV
65%
22%
13%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1989 |
CHA
3 - 3
SPB
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1989 |
POR
3 - 1
CHA
45%
28%
27%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1989 |
FAR
1 - 2
SPB
36%
29%
35%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1989 |
BMA
2 - 2
FAR
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1989 |
FAR
3 - 1
LEX
50%
28%
22%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1989 |
FCP
5 - 0
FAR
83%
12%
5%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1989 |
FAR
0 - 2
SLB
18%
29%
53%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | -1 |