Chaves vs Famalicão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
15.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
SPC
0 - 1
CHA
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
CHA
2 - 2
BRA
65%
22%
13%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
CHA
0 - 2
VAR
64%
22%
14%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
CHA
2 - 0
OLI
68%
20%
12%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
TON
2 - 2
CHA
44%
26%
29%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Famalicão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
FAM
1 - 0
OLH
46%
26%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
VAR
1 - 2
FAM
46%
28%
26%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
FAM
3 - 1
MOR
22%
25%
53%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2015 |
FAM
1 - 1
MAF
58%
24%
18%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
FAM
2 - 0
SAL
75%
17%
9%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |