Chaves vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.7%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
44.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2016 |
FCP
2 - 1
CHA
72%
18%
9%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2016 |
TOR
2 - 3
CHA
12%
20%
68%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
CHA
2 - 1
MOR
42%
28%
30%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 1
CHA
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 0
MAR
32%
28%
41%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
EST
0 - 1
SLB
20%
24%
56%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2016 |
EST
4 - 2
SAN
81%
15%
5%
|
78 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2016 |
VST
2 - 0
EST
26%
28%
46%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
EST
1 - 1
BEL
58%
24%
18%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
NAC
0 - 1
EST
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |