Chaves vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
31.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
FEI
1 - 0
CHA
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
SPC
5 - 5
CHA
37%
28%
35%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
CHA
2 - 0
MAI
59%
24%
17%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
FEI
1 - 0
CHA
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
CHA
0 - 0
SAN
42%
28%
31%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
EST
1 - 1
OLM
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
FCB
0 - 0
EST
39%
26%
35%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
EST
1 - 0
GON
47%
25%
28%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
LEX
1 - 1
EST
53%
26%
21%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
EST
1 - 0
VIZ
57%
22%
21%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |