Chaves vs Espinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
9.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1988 |
RIO
0 - 0
CHA
44%
27%
30%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1988 |
CHA
2 - 2
PEN
68%
20%
13%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1988 |
SAL
2 - 2
CHA
36%
29%
35%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1988 |
CHA
2 - 0
SPB
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 1988 |
OEL
0 - 2
CHA
40%
28%
32%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1988 |
ESP
6 - 0
OEL
55%
25%
21%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1988 |
SCP
0 - 0
ESP
86%
11%
4%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1988 |
ESP
3 - 2
MAR
48%
29%
24%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1988 |
ESP
2 - 3
POR
48%
30%
22%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1988 |
VST
0 - 0
ESP
73%
18%
10%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |