Europa League 1/16
Global 2-5
Chaves vs Budapest Honved analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
30.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1987 |
BEL
2 - 0
CHA
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1987 |
CHA
1 - 0
SLB
26%
24%
50%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
ACA
1 - 1
CHA
43%
28%
30%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1987 |
CHA
2 - 1
FCU
51%
23%
27%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1987 |
CHA
6 - 1
FAR
70%
18%
12%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Budapest Honved
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1987 |
LOK
0 - 0
BUD
49%
23%
28%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1987 |
BUD
1 - 0
LOK
59%
20%
22%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1986 |
BUD
2 - 2
BIF
58%
21%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1986 |
BIF
4 - 1
BUD
53%
22%
25%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1985 |
STB
4 - 1
BUD
50%
24%
27%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |