Chaves II vs Maria da Fonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.9%
8.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaves II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
FAF
2 - 1
CHA
72%
18%
11%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
CHA
0 - 2
SMA
33%
26%
41%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
TRO
3 - 1
CHA
54%
23%
23%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
CHA
2 - 2
MON
53%
23%
24%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
TOR
1 - 3
CHA
13%
17%
70%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Maria da Fonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 0
ADO
34%
24%
43%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
VIZ
3 - 0
MAR
83%
13%
4%
|
25 | 55 | 30 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 1
TAI
50%
22%
28%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
GFC
1 - 2
MAR
84%
12%
4%
|
23 | 51 | 28 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 2
VIL
36%
24%
40%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |