Chavdar Etropole vs Pirin Blagoevgrad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
56.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chavdar Etropole
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
BAN
0 - 3
CHA
21%
25%
54%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SOF
1 - 2
CHA
18%
23%
59%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 1
SLI
80%
14%
6%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
BOT
0 - 2
CHA
9%
19%
71%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 1
LER
79%
14%
7%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Pirin Blagoevgrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
OFK
3 - 1
SVA
55%
23%
22%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CSK
2 - 1
OFK
78%
15%
7%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
OFK
0 - 0
LPL
24%
27%
50%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
OFK
1 - 4
SEP
41%
26%
34%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BOT
3 - 1
OFK
64%
22%
14%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |