Chavdar Etropole vs Botev Krivodol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
14.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chavdar Etropole
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
PIR
1 - 2
CHA
36%
28%
36%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
CHA
2 - 0
VIH
30%
29%
42%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
CHA
0 - 1
SEP
50%
26%
24%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
SPO
4 - 1
CHA
55%
25%
21%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
CHA
0 - 1
BER
23%
25%
52%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Botev Krivodol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
BOT
5 - 0
MAL
28%
25%
47%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
BOT
1 - 4
BAN
25%
27%
48%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
BOT
1 - 0
CHA
39%
28%
33%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +3 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
SEP
3 - 1
BOT
67%
20%
13%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
BOT
0 - 2
KOM
34%
25%
41%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -2 |