Chauvigny vs Le Mans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.7%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
74.8%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.3%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Mans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2010 |
LMU
0 - 1
VAN
69%
20%
11%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2010 |
LMU
1 - 0
TRO
60%
24%
17%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2010 |
TOU
0 - 1
LMU
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2010 |
LMU
1 - 3
ETG
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2010 |
MET
0 - 1
LMU
32%
28%
40%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |