Chauray vs SU Agen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
41%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SU Agen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
SAG
2 - 0
BAS
60%
22%
17%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
SAI
2 - 1
SAG
27%
26%
47%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
SAG
0 - 1
TOU
32%
26%
42%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
SAG
2 - 1
AST
60%
22%
19%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
TRE
0 - 1
SAG
48%
26%
26%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |