Chauray vs St. Philbert de Grand Lieu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
46.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
4º
14º
14º
5
9º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
7 | 48 |
1º
|
28% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 44 |
2º
|
10.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 44 |
3º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 42 |
4º
|
5% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 41 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 38 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 38 |
7º
|
8% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 38 |
8º
|
7% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 37 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 36 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 34 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
|
9º
|
5 | 28 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 26 |
13º
|
22% | |
|
|
10º
|
4 | 17 |
14º
|
63% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
4% | 32.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2% | 8.5% |
|
Relegation
|
94% | 59% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chauray
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ESO
1 - 0
CHA
66%
18%
16%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 1
LAT
14%
20%
66%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | +3 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 2
CHA
75%
16%
9%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CHA
5 - 0
SNA
28%
23%
49%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SAB
2 - 1
CHA
77%
15%
8%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
St. Philbert de Grand Lieu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SPG
1 - 1
PAN
47%
22%
31%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
NAN
3 - 1
SPG
58%
23%
19%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
NIO
0 - 2
SPG
52%
21%
27%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SPG
1 - 1
ASC
47%
22%
31%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LSD
0 - 0
SPG
38%
23%
39%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |