Chauray vs Fontenay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
47.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+65%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
4º
11º
10º
48
2º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
89.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chauray
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
USS
4 - 2
CHA
80%
13%
7%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 0
LAV
21%
24%
55%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +2 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 1
PAU
4%
12%
85%
|
22 | 63 | 41 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
SPG
0 - 0
CHA
68%
18%
14%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ACG
3 - 3
CHA
11%
17%
71%
|
22 | 8 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Fontenay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
FON
4 - 3
SAB
37%
24%
39%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
FON
0 - 2
USS
28%
24%
48%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -2 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
LAV
1 - 1
FON
50%
24%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
LPS
1 - 0
FON
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FON
0 - 1
ACG
87%
9%
4%
|
33 | 6 | 27 | -1 |