Chauray vs Fontenay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
47.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
4º
11º
10º
48
2º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
89.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chauray
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
USS
4 - 2
CHA
80%
13%
7%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 0
LAV
21%
24%
55%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +3 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 1
PAU
4%
12%
85%
|
20 | 62 | 42 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
SPG
0 - 0
CHA
68%
18%
14%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ACG
3 - 3
CHA
11%
17%
71%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Fontenay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
FON
4 - 3
SAB
37%
24%
39%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
FON
0 - 2
USS
28%
24%
48%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
LAV
1 - 1
FON
50%
24%
27%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
LPS
1 - 0
FON
49%
24%
27%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FON
0 - 1
ACG
87%
9%
4%
|
31 | 5 | 26 | 0 |