Chauray vs Niort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.9%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
3%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.8%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
78.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.1%
0-2
16.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.5%
0-3
12.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
16.4%
0-4
7.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8.8%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chauray
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
BRE
1 - 2
CHA
68%
19%
13%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
CHA
0 - 0
LIM
18%
24%
58%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
CHA
1 - 2
LEG
38%
26%
37%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
POI
1 - 0
CHA
65%
19%
16%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
CHA
0 - 1
AVI
27%
22%
51%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2018 |
AUX
0 - 0
NIO
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
NIO
1 - 0
LHA
28%
28%
45%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2018 |
SOC
0 - 3
NIO
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
MET
3 - 0
NIO
65%
21%
15%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
NIO
1 - 0
PFC
38%
29%
33%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |