Chauray vs La Chataigneraie analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
43.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+66%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
3º
14º
14º
23
1º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
23 | 44 |
1º
|
33% | |
|
1º
|
24 | 42 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 41 |
3º
|
13% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 40 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 40 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 38 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 37 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
23 | 37 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 36 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 33 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 32 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 31 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 30 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
18 | 27 |
14º
|
32.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 6% |
|
Mid-table
|
12% | 73.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
6% | 7.5% |
|
Relegation
|
82% | 13% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chauray
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 2
PAN
33%
23%
44%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
NAN
0 - 1
CHA
74%
17%
9%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 0
CHA
17%
22%
60%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | +3 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
FON
1 - 0
CHA
76%
16%
9%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 0
SPG
30%
24%
46%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
La Chataigneraie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
ASC
1 - 2
LAT
43%
22%
34%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
SPG
2 - 2
ASC
39%
22%
39%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
BEA
2 - 2
ASC
12%
15%
73%
|
35 | 8 | 27 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ASC
2 - 1
ANG
38%
23%
39%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
NAN
6 - 0
ASC
53%
24%
23%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |